Boston College vs Nevada 1/9/2011

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Nevada is a solid favorite with a 70% chance to beat Boston College. Vai Taua is projected for 128 rushing yards and a 68% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 30% of simulations where Boston College wins, Chase Rettig averages 1.42 TD passes vs 0.66 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.73 TDs to 0.96 interceptions. Montel Harris averages 118 rushing yards and 1.38 rushing TDs when Boston College wins and 101 yards and 0.75 TDs in losses. Nevada has a 38% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 81% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NEV -9.5 --- Over/Under line is 55

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